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The findings, published in the journal Psychological Science, indicate that people tend to favor a product that has more reviews, even when it has the same low rating as an alternative product. “It’s extremely common for websites and apps to display the average score of a product along with the number of reviews,” said Derek Powell of Stanford University.
“We found that people were biased toward choosing to purchase more popular products and that this sometimes led them to make very poor decisions,” Powell said. As opportunities to buy products and services online multiply, we have greater access than ever before to huge amounts of first-hand information about users’ experiences.
“We wanted to examine how people use this wealth of information when they make decisions and how they weigh information about other people’s decisions with information about the outcomes of those decisions,” said Powell. Looking at actual products available on Amazon.com, researchers found no relationship between the number of reviews a product had and its average rating.
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Across various combinations of average rating and number of reviews, participants routinely chose the option with more reviews. This bias was so strong that they often favored the more-reviewed phone case even when both of the options had low ratings, effectively choosing the product that was, in statistical terms, more likely to be low quality. A second online experiment that followed the same design and procedure produced similar results.
“By examining a large dataset of reviews from Amazon.com, we were able to build a statistical model of how people should choose products,” said Powell. “We found that, faced with a choice between two low- scoring products, one with many reviews and one with few, the statistics say we should actually go for the product with few reviews, since there’s more of a chance it’s not really so bad,” he said.
“But participants in our studies did just the opposite: They went for the more popular product, despite the fact that they should’ve been even more certain it was of low quality,” he added. The researchers found that this pattern of results fit closely with a statistical model based on social inference. That is, people seem to use the number of reviews as shorthand for a product’s popularity, independent of the product’s average rating.